Some Questions for your Consideration
BB's to go: 674.7 or $67.47
Here's some poker related questions that I was mulling last night. Any insight or advice you can give is appreciated:
1. I know that QQ is a good starting hand, A9sooted is a speculative hand, and 38 offsuit is poo-poo. What I want to know is, what is my pot equity (if that's the right term) when I've got K6 sooted on the button? In other words, how do I figure out what my pre-flop hand is worth so I can determine if I've got the right odds to enter the pot? Is there a formula or a chart I can use, or at least a few basic odds I can memorize?
2. Related to this, is how do I determine how much pot equity my bottom two pairs (for example) have? I always hear people talk about it, but I can't find a way to determine this. The only axiom I know is that a pair v. two overcards is about 52% to 48% ahead.
3. Last night I was two-tabling micro-limit cash games. On one table, I'm up, but on another I'm stuck, and I'm not sure if I can dig myself out on that table. When do I decide it's better to leave the table and "lock" in the loss as opposed to trying to play myself back to even?
4. Finally, I'm looking for recommendations on where to play in AC. I've heard the Tropicana is a good place to play on the boardwalk, and that the Borgata is the other highly recommended spot. Has anyone played the showboat, Wild West, Caeser's Palace, or anywhere else? I'm not looking to sit down at a table of pros fighting over the blinds while they wait for sacrificial lambs, if you know what I mean. Also, my 'roll requires low limit tables.
And now for some Aimless Stream of ConsciousnessTM:
I know why people in the Middle Ages thought young children were susceptible to demon possession. The Big Monkey has been a wild animal in the mornings. Screaming bloody murder over brushing her teeth every morning for the past week. Time outs and taking away of toys, TV, etc. hasn't had any affect at all. It's really put me in a poor mood, as you can probably tell from my last few posts.
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Someone's replaced our baby, the Little General, with a young girl. I don't know when it happened, but I'm mourning the loss of babyhood in the Russo home.
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In relation to question #3, I was stuck about two bucks in a 10-20 cent game when I decided to switch to two 5-10 cent games. Ended up about fifty cents for the evening. Flopped the nut flush twice and the nut full house, so the only skill required was slowplaying effectively.
I can't get any traction at the 10-20 cent tables. I felt pretty comfortable last night, but it just wasn't happening. I'm not sure if it's the difference in confidence at the two levels or if the average skill set is noticeably better at the higher level. All I know is, I hope Poker Stars begins to spread more of the lowest limit games again soon, at least until I can build up a suitable 'roll to move up.
I really feel like I'm finally beginning to internalize some of what Sklansky et al teach regarding protecting hands. It basically boils down to informed aggression, and I can see it pay off at the 5-10 cent tables.
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The Mistress has been grumbling about my trip to AC. The rights of husbands everywhere are under assault!
Pray for me.
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I think I'm getting weary of people who say impolite things, then complain when they get negative feedback, claiming that people just don't "get" them. I think people "get" them just fine. If you spew negativity, you're going to get it in return. Complaining about it makes it seem like you edit can dish it out but edit can't take it. That impression is reinforced when you don't allow comments to your blog or remove negative responses, yet constantly say how you're flamed.
Also, equating honesty with name calling is simply not correct. Being rude doesn't earn anyone a badge of "most honest," it just makes them rude.
Before anyone calls me a hypocrite for my flaming of the Champ, let me say what I did was just that-blatant flaming. I intended to be rude and was. Besides, he wasn't even real, just a group of people trying to stir others up, so I don't feel too bad about it.
Happy Memorial Day everyone!
Here's some poker related questions that I was mulling last night. Any insight or advice you can give is appreciated:
1. I know that QQ is a good starting hand, A9sooted is a speculative hand, and 38 offsuit is poo-poo. What I want to know is, what is my pot equity (if that's the right term) when I've got K6 sooted on the button? In other words, how do I figure out what my pre-flop hand is worth so I can determine if I've got the right odds to enter the pot? Is there a formula or a chart I can use, or at least a few basic odds I can memorize?
2. Related to this, is how do I determine how much pot equity my bottom two pairs (for example) have? I always hear people talk about it, but I can't find a way to determine this. The only axiom I know is that a pair v. two overcards is about 52% to 48% ahead.
3. Last night I was two-tabling micro-limit cash games. On one table, I'm up, but on another I'm stuck, and I'm not sure if I can dig myself out on that table. When do I decide it's better to leave the table and "lock" in the loss as opposed to trying to play myself back to even?
4. Finally, I'm looking for recommendations on where to play in AC. I've heard the Tropicana is a good place to play on the boardwalk, and that the Borgata is the other highly recommended spot. Has anyone played the showboat, Wild West, Caeser's Palace, or anywhere else? I'm not looking to sit down at a table of pros fighting over the blinds while they wait for sacrificial lambs, if you know what I mean. Also, my 'roll requires low limit tables.
And now for some Aimless Stream of ConsciousnessTM:
I know why people in the Middle Ages thought young children were susceptible to demon possession. The Big Monkey has been a wild animal in the mornings. Screaming bloody murder over brushing her teeth every morning for the past week. Time outs and taking away of toys, TV, etc. hasn't had any affect at all. It's really put me in a poor mood, as you can probably tell from my last few posts.
*************************************
Someone's replaced our baby, the Little General, with a young girl. I don't know when it happened, but I'm mourning the loss of babyhood in the Russo home.
**************************************
In relation to question #3, I was stuck about two bucks in a 10-20 cent game when I decided to switch to two 5-10 cent games. Ended up about fifty cents for the evening. Flopped the nut flush twice and the nut full house, so the only skill required was slowplaying effectively.
I can't get any traction at the 10-20 cent tables. I felt pretty comfortable last night, but it just wasn't happening. I'm not sure if it's the difference in confidence at the two levels or if the average skill set is noticeably better at the higher level. All I know is, I hope Poker Stars begins to spread more of the lowest limit games again soon, at least until I can build up a suitable 'roll to move up.
I really feel like I'm finally beginning to internalize some of what Sklansky et al teach regarding protecting hands. It basically boils down to informed aggression, and I can see it pay off at the 5-10 cent tables.
*************************************
The Mistress has been grumbling about my trip to AC. The rights of husbands everywhere are under assault!
Pray for me.
*************************************
I think I'm getting weary of people who say impolite things, then complain when they get negative feedback, claiming that people just don't "get" them. I think people "get" them just fine. If you spew negativity, you're going to get it in return. Complaining about it makes it seem like you edit can dish it out but edit can't take it. That impression is reinforced when you don't allow comments to your blog or remove negative responses, yet constantly say how you're flamed.
Also, equating honesty with name calling is simply not correct. Being rude doesn't earn anyone a badge of "most honest," it just makes them rude.
Before anyone calls me a hypocrite for my flaming of the Champ, let me say what I did was just that-blatant flaming. I intended to be rude and was. Besides, he wasn't even real, just a group of people trying to stir others up, so I don't feel too bad about it.
Happy Memorial Day everyone!
posted by C.L. Russo at 5/26/2006 05:16:00 AM
8 Comments:
I analyzed a hand recently where I flopped bottom two pair. It was just the SB and me, as the BB, in the hand. The SB represented a strong hand. There were no straight or flush draws on board. Given that the SB had a strong hand (over-pair, top pair strong kicker, set, two pair), I calculated that my bottom two pair had, on the flop, about a 60% chance to win at the river.
What was your formula or method of calculating that?
Hey C.L., PokerStove is a good source to help you answer the analytical side of questions one and two. MattMatros.com may help you as well. Sklansky has plenty of literature as well.
Question 3: When I get ready to seriously grind out a profit on limit tables, I open 3 tables. Of the 3, there is usually one that I am killing, one I am beating a little, and one I am losing a little. I then close the loser and focus on the other 2. This almost always results in a good profit.
Thanks Surf, I'll check those sites out.
On the when to leave the table when stuck, that's very much a judgment call. Some people play strictly by the numbers, while others would argue that any table that you're winning it is by definition a good table, and any table you're losing it, isn't.
I usually have a stop limit for losses. And it's usually one buy in. This helps me not do the old tilt/reload and lose another buy in.
I like Surf's multi-table plan, too. Sounds pretty solid.
If my teeny tiny gnat brain could handle multi-tabling, I'd give that a shot.
CL, hit me up on the email if you want some more AC advice, but I'll give you the short version. In fact, hit me up anyway (brodybanky AT aol DOT communist rebels) because I'm going to AC soon too, and we might overlap.
Everywhere in AC has low limits. 2/5 Limit is the lowest. The lowest NL is 1/2, 300 max (although maybe there are some with a lower max).
Borgata is nice, but you'll wait forever to get in a game. Harrah's off the Boardwalk ain't bad.
However, I suggest you stay on the Boardwalk. Go to Showboat for their tourneys (7pm and 10 or 11 am during the wk). It's a low 40+10 buy in plus the levels dont go up too fast. Otherwise, their room is often thin (as far as crowds) especially now that you can only smoke on the casino floor and the casino floor is a long walk from the poker room. That means that more experienced players probably wont be there. Taj is dirty, but they have a bucket load of games going. Trop is a good all-around room. Resorts is not even a room. Its just a sectioned off piece of the casino floor. They have the WORST players, and at 2/4 limit, expect it to be No FoldEm. But if 1/2 NL is going, get in there, because its very profitable with those morons.
Good luck.
Thanks Jordan. I'll definitely get in touch with you, I've got some other AC related questions.
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